Crewe Alexandra vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
60.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
REA
4 - 0
CRE
53%
24%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
WIG
4 - 1
CRE
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
CRE
3 - 1
BHA
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
CRE
3 - 0
WAT
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
ROT
2 - 3
CRE
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
MUD
2 - 0
ARS
39%
25%
37%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 0
MUD
25%
26%
49%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BIR
0 - 0
MUD
15%
23%
62%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MUD
1 - 1
MID
77%
15%
8%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
MUD
6 - 2
FEN
69%
19%
12%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |