Crewe Alexandra vs Man. City U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 1
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 0
CRE
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
TRA
3 - 4
CRE
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CRE
3 - 0
MAC
38%
26%
37%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CUM
1 - 0
CRE
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Man. City U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
STF
1 - 1
MCI
54%
24%
23%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
CHE
2 - 2
MCI
44%
23%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 1
MCI
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
ROT
1 - 1
MCI
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
MCI
3 - 2
GIR
13%
21%
67%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | +1 |