Crewe Alexandra vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
IPS
2 - 1
CRE
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
CRE
0 - 4
WOL
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
CRE
0 - 0
WAT
34%
26%
41%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
REA
1 - 0
CRE
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2005 |
PLY
1 - 1
CRE
47%
25%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 2
LUT
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
LUT
3 - 0
PNE
48%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
LUT
2 - 2
SHW
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
REA
1 - 0
LUT
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
HUL
0 - 1
LUT
34%
26%
41%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |