Crewe Alexandra vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 1
CRE
30%
25%
46%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CRE
8 - 1
CHE
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
CRE
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
CRE
0 - 0
STA
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
OXF
2 - 1
CRE
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 4
GIL
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GUL
2 - 0
LIN
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
LIN
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 6
ROT
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
STE
2 - 1
LIN
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |