EFL Cup 1/64
Global 4-3
Crewe Alexandra vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
WAL
1 - 4
CRE
49%
26%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
HAR
3 - 3
CRE
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
CRY
1 - 1
CRE
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
HUR
0 - 0
CRE
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
CRE
3 - 1
OPA
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
CUM
0 - 3
HAR
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
HAR
0 - 2
HAL
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
HAR
3 - 3
CRE
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
POS
2 - 1
HAR
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
SOU
1 - 1
HAR
49%
27%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |