Crewe Alexandra vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CRE
2 - 1
DON
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
STA
0 - 3
CRE
64%
20%
17%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 0
CRE
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
BBU
4 - 3
CRE
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 1
CRE
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
COL
2 - 3
EXE
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
OXF
4 - 2
EXE
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
EXE
0 - 1
OPA
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
EXE
1 - 3
HUL
14%
23%
63%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
STA
1 - 2
EXE
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |