Crewe Alexandra vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
CRA
0 - 3
CRE
46%
24%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CRE
1 - 2
NEW
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
OPA
0 - 1
CRE
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
HAR
4 - 0
CRE
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CRE
1 - 2
STE
33%
27%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
COL
2 - 0
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
COL
0 - 4
OPA
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 1
COL
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
GRI
1 - 0
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
COL
2 - 1
HAR
68%
18%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |