Crewe Alexandra vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 2
CRE
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
CRE
6 - 1
CRA
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 0
CRE
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 0
CRE
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CRE
0 - 2
NOR
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CHE
3 - 1
NOR
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHE
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CHE
4 - 1
NOT
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 1
BCF
23%
26%
51%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 2
CHE
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |