Crewe Alexandra vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
CRE
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
CRE
3 - 0
BRO
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
CRE
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CRE
1 - 1
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HER
0 - 1
CRE
26%
25%
50%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CHE
4 - 1
STA
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 0
CHE
41%
26%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 0
BAR
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
4 - 0
CHE
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 0
OXF
41%
28%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |