Crewe Alexandra vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
MOR
4 - 3
CRE
50%
25%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
POR
0 - 1
CRE
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CRE
0 - 1
NOT
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
GUL
1 - 1
CRE
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
CRE
4 - 2
GRI
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 0
LIN
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHE
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 1
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BUR
5 - 6
CHE
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHE
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |