Crewe Alexandra vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CHE
2 - 1
CRE
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BPO
2 - 1
CRE
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CRE
1 - 0
ROT
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
CRE
0 - 1
BRI
47%
25%
29%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
MIL
2 - 2
CRE
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
BRE
0 - 2
CHE
42%
28%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
GIL
2 - 1
BRE
49%
27%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
BRE
2 - 2
OLD
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
BRE
0 - 1
ROT
48%
26%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
BRI
1 - 0
BRE
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |