Crewe Alexandra vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SWI
2 - 0
CRE
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
CRE
2 - 5
ROC
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CRE
1 - 2
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 2
CRE
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
FLE
2 - 1
CRE
52%
23%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BHA
2 - 1
BOL
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 2
MID
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BOL
2 - 2
NTT
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
BOL
3 - 2
BCF
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
WAT
3 - 0
BOL
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |