Crewe Alexandra vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
GRI
1 - 1
CRE
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
CRE
2 - 3
WAL
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
CHA
1 - 0
CRE
69%
19%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
CRE
1 - 1
MAC
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1999 |
QPR
1 - 0
CRE
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
BIR
2 - 1
STO
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
POR
3 - 1
BIR
29%
28%
43%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
BIR
2 - 0
NOR
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
EVE
2 - 0
BIR
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
BIR
1 - 0
HUR
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |