Crewe Alexandra vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1997 |
BCF
1 - 1
CRE
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1997 |
CRE
1 - 0
MAC
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1997 |
CRE
0 - 3
SUN
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
STO
0 - 2
CRE
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
CRE
2 - 5
HUR
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1997 |
BIR
0 - 0
TRA
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1997 |
IPS
0 - 1
BIR
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1997 |
SWI
1 - 1
BIR
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
BIR
2 - 1
MAC
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
POR
0 - 1
BIR
50%
26%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |