Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Telford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
PNE
0 - 0
CRE
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
CRE
3 - 1
BUR
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
CRE
2 - 3
WIG
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
WBA
2 - 2
CRE
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2003 |
CRY
1 - 3
CRE
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2004 |
FOR
0 - 0
AFC
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
EXE
0 - 3
AFC
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
AFC
1 - 2
BAR
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2003 |
STF
0 - 0
AFC
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
AFC
3 - 0
BRE
46%
26%
29%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |