Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2007 |
CHE
2 - 4
CRE
44%
24%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 1
CRE
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
CRE
2 - 3
YEO
52%
22%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
CRE
1 - 3
SWA
47%
24%
29%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
LEY
1 - 1
CRE
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
BOU
1 - 0
BRE
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
BOU
1 - 0
BHA
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
SCU
3 - 2
BOU
70%
20%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
BRI
2 - 2
BOU
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
BOU
1 - 3
BPO
31%
27%
43%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |