FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-2
Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
COL
1 - 2
CRE
27%
26%
48%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
BOU
0 - 0
CRE
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
CRE
2 - 0
MAN
63%
21%
15%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
CRE
1 - 2
OLD
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
CHE
0 - 4
CRE
32%
26%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
BOU
0 - 0
CRE
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
BOU
3 - 3
ROC
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
OXF
3 - 0
BOU
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
BOU
0 - 0
HUL
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2002 |
BOU
3 - 2
SOU
66%
20%
15%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |