Crewe Alexandra U18 vs Colchester United U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.6%
23.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
12º
19º
14º
3
13º
21º
21º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
21º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
10º
|
10 | 65 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 62 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 61 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 59 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 57 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 56 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 55 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 49 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 45 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 44 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 44 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 44 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 37 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
19º
|
4 | 36 |
15º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 35 |
16º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 35 |
17º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 32 |
18º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 32 |
19º
|
11% | |
|
20º
|
3 | 25 |
20º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
21º
|
3 | 22 |
21º
|
21.5% | |
|
22º
|
2 | 18 |
22º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 1
CRE
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CRE
1 - 4
CHA
11%
14%
75%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
IPS
2 - 3
CRE
56%
19%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CRE
2 - 3
BRI
22%
20%
58%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CRE
1 - 3
CAR
28%
20%
52%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Colchester United U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
COL
1 - 4
WAT
47%
21%
32%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FLT
3 - 2
COL
35%
20%
45%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
COL
4 - 2
COV
68%
16%
16%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PET
3 - 1
COL
41%
21%
39%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
HUL
1 - 1
COL
44%
21%
35%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |