Creteil vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
CLE
1 - 0
LUS
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 2
NÎM
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
ETG
1 - 2
LUS
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 2
BRE
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
STL
3 - 2
LUS
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
ETG
4 - 0
VAL
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 0
STL
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 2
VAL
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 1
LHA
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
SOC
1 - 0
VAL
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |