Creteil vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
LUS
3 - 1
FCG
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
AMI
2 - 1
LUS
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
LUS
0 - 2
AJA
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
ESW
2 - 1
LUS
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
LUS
1 - 1
ASS
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
ANG
1 - 1
VAL
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
USB
0 - 0
VAL
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
VAL
2 - 0
CLE
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
ANG
0 - 0
VAL
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
VAL
0 - 1
CAN
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |