Creteil vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
LUS
3 - 0
CAB
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
AUX
1 - 1
LUS
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 0
ANG
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 2
LUS
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 3
DIJ
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
TFC
0 - 5
REN
44%
27%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
REI
1 - 2
TFC
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
TFC
1 - 0
NIC
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
PSG
2 - 0
TFC
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
TFC
1 - 0
LOR
43%
27%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |