Creteil vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
40.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2003 |
STL
1 - 0
LUS
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
IST
1 - 0
LUS
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
LUS
1 - 1
REI
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2003 |
LUS
0 - 2
CHA
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
LOR
0 - 0
LUS
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
TFC
3 - 1
VAL
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
ESW
0 - 0
TFC
35%
28%
38%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
SCH
3 - 0
TFC
11%
21%
68%
|
77 | 35 | 42 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
TFC
2 - 0
ASB
63%
24%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
TFC
4 - 1
NIO
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |