Creteil vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
VAL
2 - 1
LUS
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
ESW
2 - 3
LUS
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
LUS
1 - 0
ASB
48%
28%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
ASS
1 - 1
LUS
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
LUS
0 - 0
NIO
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2002 |
NIC
3 - 0
AJA
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
SED
3 - 0
NIC
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
NIC
0 - 0
REN
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
AUX
0 - 2
NIC
62%
23%
16%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
NIC
1 - 0
MON
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |