Creteil vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
40.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
IST
0 - 0
LUS
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
LUS
0 - 2
BRE
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
STR
1 - 0
LUS
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
LUS
1 - 1
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
AJA
5 - 0
LUS
55%
27%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
MET
0 - 0
NIO
60%
23%
16%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
MPL
1 - 1
MET
35%
29%
36%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
MET
5 - 0
DIJ
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2007 |
MET
2 - 0
CAE
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
MET
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |