Creteil vs Maur Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
5º
5º
34
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BOB
2 - 2
LUS
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 2
BEL
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MET
1 - 2
LUS
26%
26%
49%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 2
REI
65%
20%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 2
LUS
29%
26%
46%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SML
1 - 1
BRC
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 0
SML
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SML
3 - 1
ESW
68%
20%
11%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
SML
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SML
3 - 2
SPI
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |