Creteil vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
ASN
2 - 0
LUS
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
LUS
1 - 0
ASS
35%
29%
37%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
LHA
1 - 1
LUS
61%
24%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
LUS
1 - 1
FCG
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
NIO
3 - 0
LUS
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
CHA
2 - 2
LOR
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
LOR
2 - 0
ASN
61%
24%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
ASS
2 - 1
LOR
37%
27%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
LOR
2 - 0
LHA
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
FCG
1 - 1
LOR
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |