Creteil vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
51%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
LUS
0 - 2
STR
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
GRE
3 - 1
LUS
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
LUS
0 - 0
AJA
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
MET
0 - 1
LUS
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
LHA
2 - 1
LUS
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
SOC
0 - 3
LEN
42%
28%
30%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
ETH
0 - 0
LEN
26%
26%
48%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
LEN
3 - 0
VAL
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
ASS
3 - 2
LEN
34%
30%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
LEN
1 - 1
LOR
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |