Creteil vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2006 |
CAE
3 - 1
LUS
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2006 |
LUS
1 - 0
GRE
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2006 |
DIJ
1 - 1
LUS
53%
27%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2006 |
LUS
1 - 1
LOR
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
IST
0 - 1
LUS
41%
30%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2006 |
SED
2 - 0
GUI
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2006 |
GUI
1 - 0
SÈT
70%
20%
11%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2006 |
CLE
3 - 2
GUI
22%
28%
50%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2006 |
STL
1 - 2
GUI
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
GUI
6 - 0
AMI
63%
23%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |