Creteil vs Furiani Agliani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
9º
5º
43
1º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
LUS
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 0
AUX
46%
25%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ESW
1 - 2
LUS
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
GOB
1 - 0
LUS
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 1
FCS
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Furiani Agliani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FUR
0 - 0
COL
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 1
FUR
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FLE
0 - 0
FUR
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
FUR
2 - 3
BAS
10%
17%
73%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 0
FUR
68%
21%
11%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |