Creteil vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
BAY
1 - 1
LUS
23%
29%
49%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
LUS
1 - 0
AMI
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ROD
0 - 1
LUS
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LUS
0 - 1
ETG
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
TRO
2 - 1
LUS
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 1
HYE
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
PAC
1 - 0
FRE
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
FRE
3 - 0
LUZ
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
ASB
1 - 1
FRE
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
PLA
1 - 0
FRE
27%
30%
44%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |