Creteil vs Colmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
9º
5º
31
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
3 - 1
LUS
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 3
FUR
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
LUS
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 0
AUX
46%
25%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ESW
1 - 2
LUS
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Colmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FLE
1 - 2
COL
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
BOU
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FUR
0 - 0
COL
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 3
OLY
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
AUX
3 - 0
COL
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -2 |