Creteil vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2014 |
ARL
2 - 1
LUS
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 0
LHA
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
TRO
0 - 3
LUS
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 2
LUS
56%
22%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
LUS
4 - 0
STL
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2014 |
NIO
1 - 0
AUX
46%
27%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
STL
2 - 4
NIO
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
NIO
1 - 2
BRE
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LEN
2 - 0
NIO
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
NIO
2 - 0
DIJ
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |