Creteil vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
LUS
2 - 1
ETG
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
CSL
1 - 0
LUS
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
LUS
1 - 1
ROD
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
PAC
0 - 0
LUS
24%
28%
49%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
LUS
0 - 0
CAL
59%
24%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
NIO
0 - 0
STL
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
ETG
2 - 0
NIO
40%
28%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
NIO
0 - 0
CSL
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
ROD
2 - 1
NIO
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2008 |
NIO
0 - 0
PAC
71%
20%
9%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |