Creteil vs Bourg-Péronnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
9º
5º
50
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FUR
1 - 0
LUS
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
AUX
0 - 2
LUS
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 3
OLY
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 0
BIE
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
FEI
0 - 1
LUS
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bourg-Péronnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 0
COL
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 4
FLE
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FEI
1 - 3
BOU
15%
23%
63%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FUR
1 - 0
BOU
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 1
AUX
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |