Creteil vs Aviron Bayonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 1
VAN
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LPS
0 - 1
LUS
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
LUS
0 - 2
BRC
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 2
LUZ
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
COL
2 - 1
LUS
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aviron Bayonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 2
PFC
43%
28%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
BAY
50%
27%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BAY
5 - 3
FCM
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NÎM
1 - 0
BAY
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 1
RED
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |