Cremonese U19 vs Vicenza U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
4º
12º
6º
35
3º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
95% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
74% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
97% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CRE
3 - 1
BRE
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
CRE
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ABL
0 - 2
CRE
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CRE
3 - 0
USA
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FER
0 - 2
CRE
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vicenza U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 2
ASS
21%
20%
60%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VIC
1 - 0
FER
34%
22%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CIT
1 - 2
VIC
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 1
SPA
31%
23%
47%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GEN
2 - 1
VIC
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |