Cremonese U19 vs Reggiana U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.2%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
4º
12º
6º
21
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
95% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
74% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
97% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
4 - 1
CRE
40%
26%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 2
CRE
25%
24%
51%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 2
PUB
86%
10%
5%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VEN
1 - 0
CRE
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 5
CRE
40%
26%
34%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
REG
1 - 1
VIC
10%
14%
76%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GEN
2 - 0
REG
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
REG
1 - 2
FER
9%
14%
77%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
6 - 1
REG
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPA
3 - 0
REG
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |