Crema vs Vis Nova Giussano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 1
CRE
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 2
ARC
56%
22%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
FAN
2 - 1
CRE
58%
23%
20%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SON
1 - 0
CRE
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
FAN
2 - 2
CRE
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Vis Nova Giussano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 2
UNI
15%
17%
68%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
USB
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
NOV
84%
10%
6%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
ALC
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 1
OLG
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |