Crema vs Villa Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 1
CRE
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 1
CAS
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 1
CRE
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CRE
2 - 3
USP
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
DES
0 - 1
CRE
48%
23%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
6 - 1
ADR
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 0
LEO
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
VCB
2 - 1
VIL
74%
15%
10%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
SON
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
USB
26%
22%
52%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -2 |