Crema vs Seregno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
USD
0 - 1
CRE
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 0
FAN
35%
26%
39%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CRE
0 - 4
LEN
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 3
CRE
23%
24%
54%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 0
CAL
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
TRI
50%
21%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
VIR
0 - 0
SER
15%
20%
65%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
SER
4 - 1
CAS
52%
24%
25%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
CAL
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
DCA
0 - 1
SER
26%
25%
50%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |