Crema vs Pontisola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
59.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
DCA
3 - 1
CRE
21%
22%
58%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 1
GRU
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 1
PRO
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
GRU
2 - 0
CRE
34%
24%
43%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CRE
3 - 1
ROM
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Pontisola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PON
1 - 0
PRO
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GRU
0 - 3
PON
22%
23%
54%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PON
2 - 1
ROM
92%
6%
2%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
REZ
2 - 1
PON
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PON
3 - 2
LEC
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |