Crema vs Pol. Ciliverghe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 2
CRE
43%
23%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 2
USD
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 1
CRE
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 0
PER
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 2
CRE
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
PSM
1 - 2
REG
14%
23%
63%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
PSM
0 - 0
ASD
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AXY
3 - 3
PSM
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PSM
1 - 0
USD
26%
22%
51%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 0
PSM
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |