Crema vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
38.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PRO
1 - 0
CRE
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CRE
2 - 0
GRU
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ROM
0 - 3
CRE
11%
17%
72%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
CRE
1 - 2
REZ
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LEC
1 - 0
CRE
31%
22%
47%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
BUS
0 - 2
PER
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PER
1 - 1
SCA
71%
18%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
CIS
1 - 2
PER
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PER
4 - 0
ACL
34%
27%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
4 - 3
PER
30%
26%
45%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |