Crema vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
39.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
BUS
2 - 0
CRE
35%
24%
42%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CRE
1 - 1
SCA
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CIS
0 - 3
CRE
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
CRE
1 - 0
ACL
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
CRE
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
PRO
35%
27%
37%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
GRU
0 - 0
PER
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
ROM
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
REZ
5 - 0
PER
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
PER
2 - 2
LEC
59%
23%
19%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |