Crema vs Ciserano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ACL
1 - 1
CRE
47%
24%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
GOZ
1 - 1
CRE
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 1
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
VBE
0 - 2
CRE
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 1
PON
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CIS
0 - 2
PRO
22%
24%
55%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
GRU
1 - 2
CIS
53%
24%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CIS
2 - 1
ROM
85%
11%
5%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
REZ
3 - 2
CIS
77%
16%
7%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CIS
1 - 1
LEC
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |