Crema vs Franciacorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
CRE
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 3
ASD
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MOD
4 - 2
CRE
72%
19%
9%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CRE
3 - 2
PAV
29%
22%
49%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 3
CRE
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ADR
4 - 0
CLA
72%
16%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PSM
2 - 2
ADR
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ADR
1 - 4
FAN
43%
23%
35%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
4 - 1
ADR
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ADR
3 - 0
AXY
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |