CRB vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 0
CRB
20%
24%
57%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
OES
2 - 0
CRB
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CRB
0 - 2
CSA
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
CSA
0 - 1
CRB
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CRB
2 - 1
TRE
75%
17%
9%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
AVA
32%
30%
39%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
APA
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
APA
0 - 0
VIL
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
ANA
2 - 0
VIL
13%
22%
65%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
FER
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |