CRB vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CRB
5 - 0
COR
86%
11%
3%
|
83 | 39 | 44 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
ALT
1 - 1
CRB
16%
24%
60%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MUR
0 - 0
CRB
6%
16%
78%
|
83 | 39 | 44 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
CRB
2 - 2
PEN
90%
9%
2%
|
83 | 40 | 43 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CRB
2 - 3
CSA
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SOU
3 - 0
NAC
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
VIT
1 - 0
SOU
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SOU
1 - 0
POM
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
SOU
2 - 0
CAM
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AUT
0 - 0
SOU
13%
23%
64%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |