CRB vs Penedense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
17.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20.6%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.3%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.6%
1.9%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CRB
2 - 3
CSA
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
CRB
2 - 2
VIT
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CSE
1 - 5
CRB
7%
18%
75%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
ASA
0 - 0
CRB
12%
22%
66%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CRB
3 - 0
IGA
90%
9%
2%
|
84 | 25 | 59 | 0 |
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PEN
0 - 0
COR
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ASA
1 - 1
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
CSE
1 - 2
PEN
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PEN
1 - 0
MUR
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
SER
0 - 0
PEN
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |