CRB vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 0
CRB
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
CRB
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
CRB
0 - 1
CSA
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
CSA
2 - 3
CRB
39%
25%
37%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CRB
2 - 1
CEO
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
LUV
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
SCI
2 - 0
SAN
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 2
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPO
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
SCI
16%
25%
59%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | +1 |